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Races › Texas › 18th District

Texas’ 18th District

Includes Houston and Humble

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · general election

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Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
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United States Senate

Texas, statewide39 filed with the FEC$198.2M raised by the field

James Talarico · Ken Paxton · Ted Brown

Raised $146.3M$9.9M cash on hand
Compare James Talarico
Their first priorities
1. Health Care
2. Freedom, Family & Faith
3. Immigration & Border Security
In their words
1. Health Care
2. Freedom, Family & Faith
3. Immigration & Border Security
and 1 more, in the campaign’s own order. Read them in their words
Money
Raised
$146.3M
Spent
$136.4M
Cash on hand
$9.9M
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
On the ballot
On the general election ballot
Nov 3, 2026 · Texas US Senate
Open full recordFEC S6TX00479
Raised $22.3M$4.8M cash on hand
Compare Ken Paxton
Their first priorities
1. Carry the Torch for Trump’s Agenda.
2. TAKE ON BIG FOOD AND BIG PHARMA
3. Sovereignty Matters. Borders Must Hold.
In their words
1. Carry the Torch for Trump’s Agenda.
2. TAKE ON BIG FOOD AND BIG PHARMA
3. Sovereignty Matters. Borders Must Hold.
and 4 more, in the campaign’s own order. Read them in their words
Money
Raised
$22.3M
Spent
$17.5M
Cash on hand
$4.8M
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
On the ballot
On the general election ballot
Nov 3, 2026 · Texas US Senate
Open full recordFEC S6TX00388
Raised $14.3K$1.3K cash on hand
Compare Ted Brown
No published priorities shown yet

Held by John Cornyn R (lost the republican primary runoff) and Ted Cruz R (not running in the 2026 cycle)

Polls

Every public poll of the Texas Senate race this cycle, as published. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast.

November general election

Election November 3, 2026 · 52 polls of this matchup

James Talarico leads Ken Paxton by 2.2 points · average gap, 5 latest nonpartisan polls

DJames Talarico49.4% median
RKen Paxton47.8% median
LTed Brown2.4% median

U.S. House of Representatives

18th Congressional District12 filed with the FEC$8.7M raised by the field

Christian D. Menefee · Ronald Whitfield

Raised $3.8M$77.7K cash on hand
Compare Christian D. Menefee
Their first priorities
1. Criminal Justice Reform
2. Protecting Our Veterans
3. Fixing Our Broken Immigration System
In their words
1. Criminal Justice Reform
2. Protecting Our Veterans
3. Fixing Our Broken Immigration System
and 12 more, in the campaign’s own order. Read them in their words
Money
Raised
$3.8M
Spent
$3.7M
Cash on hand
$77.7K
FEC filings through Oct 14, 2026
On the ballot
On the general election ballot
Nov 3, 2026 · Texas US House 18
In office
Christian D. Menefee holds this House seat; the current term began February 2026.
Every recorded vote
Open full recordFEC H6TX18232
Raised $0$0 cash on hand
Compare Ronald Whitfield
No published priorities shown yet

Held by Christian D. Menefee D (on the general election ballot)

Polls

Every public poll of the TX-18 House race this cycle, as published. A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast.

Democratic primary

Primary March 3, 2026 · runoff May 26, 2026 · 2 polls

DChristian Menefee
DAl Green
DAmanda Edwards

Each dot is a poll. A line is drawn from the third nonpartisan poll; there are 2 so far. How polls are read

Primary result and the final polls

Christian Menefee won by 1.8 points. No poll naming both Christian Menefee and Al Green ended in the 21 days before the vote.

Poll	Christian Menefee	Al Green

Democratic primary

Primary March 3, 2026 · 15 polls

James Talarico leads Jasmine Crockett by 10.2 points · average gap, 3 latest nonpartisan polls · 2 far-off polls left out

DJames Talarico51.9% median
DJasmine Crockett46.5% median
DColin Allred42% median
DBeto O’Rourke25% median
DJoaquin Castro13% median
DAhmad Hassan0.2% median

Each dot is a poll. The line is the median of the 5 latest nonpartisan polls. How polls are read

Primary result and the final polls

James Talarico won by 6.2 points. The 4 final polls had a median of James Talarico +8.8, overstating James Talarico's margin by 2.6 points.

Poll	James Talarico	Jasmine Crockett	Lead	vs. result
YouGovended Mar 2	53%	40%	James Talarico +13	+6.8
Emerson Collegeended Feb 28	52.1%	46.5%	James Talarico +5.6	−0.6
Blueprint Pollingended Feb 24	51.9%	40%	James Talarico +11.9	+5.7
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Researchended Feb 22 · led with the loser	37%	55%	Jasmine Crockett +18	−24.2
Median of the final polls			James Talarico +8.8	+2.6
Result	52.5%	46.2%	James Talarico +6.2

March 3, 2026 · Result (unofficial) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for

Republican primary

Primary March 3, 2026 · runoff May 26, 2026 · 28 polls

Ken Paxton leads John Cornyn by 7 points · average gap, 4 latest nonpartisan polls · 1 far-off poll left out

RKen Paxton48% median
RJohn Cornyn43.4% median
RWesley Hunt15% median
RRonny Jackson

Result	46.0%	44.2%	Christian Menefee +1.8

Runoff result and the final polls

Christian Menefee won by 38.7 points. The final poll had Christian Menefee +7, understating Christian Menefee's margin by 31.7 points.

Poll	Christian Menefee	Al Green	Lead	vs. result
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairsended May 8	50%	43%	Christian Menefee +7	−31.7
Median of the final polls			Christian Menefee +7	−31.7
Result	69.4%	30.6%	Christian Menefee +38.7

May 26, 2026 · Result (unofficial) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote and after the first round, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for

Primary result and the final polls

John Cornyn won by 1.5 points. The 5 final polls had a median of Ken Paxton +4, understating John Cornyn's margin by 5.5 points.

Poll	John Cornyn	Ken Paxton	Lead	vs. result
YouGovended Mar 2 · led with the loser	32%	36%	Ken Paxton +4	−5.5
Emerson Collegeended Feb 28 · led with the loser	35.9%	39.8%	Ken Paxton +3.9	−5.4
Quantus Insightsended Feb 26 · led with the loser	36.7%	42.5%	Ken Paxton +5.8	−7.3
Blueprint Pollingended Feb 24 · led with the loser	29.9%	41.5%	Ken Paxton +11.6	−13.1
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Researchended Feb 22	41%	35%	John Cornyn +6	+4.5
Median of the final polls			Ken Paxton +4	−5.5
Result	42.0%	40.5%	John Cornyn +1.5

March 3, 2026 · Result (unofficial) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for

Runoff result and the final polls

Ken Paxton won by 27.7 points. The final poll had Ken Paxton +9.3, understating Ken Paxton's margin by 18.4 points.

Poll	Ken Paxton	John Cornyn	Lead	vs. result
Quantus Insightsended May 23	52.7%	43.4%	Ken Paxton +9.3	−18.4
Median of the final polls			Ken Paxton +9.3	−18.4
Result	63.8%	36.2%	Ken Paxton +27.7

May 26, 2026 · Result (unofficial, 99% reporting) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote and after the first round, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for

How to vote in Texas

How to vote in Texas

United States Senate

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