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Loading this candidate’s profile from the FEC filings and campaign records.
Where They Stand is a nonpartisan guide to everyone running for Congress: their money, their own words and how incumbents voted. Find your ballot →
Candidates › Texas U.S. Senate race › 2025–2026
RepublicanU.S. SenateTexas
Has not served in Congress
No campaign site or public profiles are attached to this record yet.
Andrew Alvarez’s words are not shown
Campaign committee · 2025–2026 · latest available filing · Official FEC bulk data · committee C00745356
No receipts reported
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Not read yet
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Primary March 3, 2026 · runoff May 26, 2026 · 28 polls
Ken Paxton leads John Cornyn by 7 points · average gap, 4 latest nonpartisan polls · 1 far-off poll left out
Each dot is a poll. The line is the median of the 5 latest nonpartisan polls. How polls are read
John Cornyn won by 1.5 points. The 5 final polls had a median of Ken Paxton +4, understating John Cornyn's margin by 5.5 points.
| Poll | John Cornyn | Ken Paxton | Lead | vs. result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGovended Mar 2 · led with the loser | 32% | 36% | Ken Paxton +4 | −5.5 |
| Emerson Collegeended Feb 28 · led with the loser | 35.9% | 39.8% | Ken Paxton +3.9 | −5.4 |
| Quantus Insightsended Feb 26 · led with the loser | 36.7% | 42.5% | Ken Paxton +5.8 | −7.3 |
| Blueprint Pollingended Feb 24 · led with the loser | 29.9% | 41.5% | Ken Paxton +11.6 | −13.1 |
| University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Researchended Feb 22 | 41% | 35% | John Cornyn +6 | +4.5 |
| Median of the final polls | Ken Paxton +4 | −5.5 | ||
| Result | 42.0% | 40.5% | John Cornyn +1.5 |
March 3, 2026 · Result (unofficial)
Ken Paxton won by 27.7 points. The final poll had Ken Paxton +9.3, understating Ken Paxton's margin by 18.4 points.
| Poll | Ken Paxton | John Cornyn | Lead | vs. result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insightsended May 23 | 52.7% | 43.4% | Ken Paxton +9.3 | −18.4 |
| Median of the final polls | Ken Paxton +9.3 | −18.4 | ||
| Result | 63.8% | 36.2% | Ken Paxton +27.7 |
May 26, 2026 · Result (unofficial, 99% reporting) · Each pollster's last poll ending in the 21 days before the vote and after the first round, read for the two leading finishers; the median leaves out polls a side paid for
Poll data from The New York Times, licensed CC BY 4.0 · Updated October 28, 2026 · 57 polls paid for by a party or campaign are left out
The FEC counts someone as a candidate once they raise or spend more than $5,000.
Official FEC filing record for the current cycle. The priorities they publish are quoted from their own site, in their order.
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